Oil rises on stronger financial markets, expectations of extended supply cuts

Wednesday, 12 June 2019 00:00 -     - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}

SINGAPORE (Reuters): Oil prices rose on Tuesday in line with firmer financial markets and bolstered by expectations that producer group OPEC and its allies will keep withholding supply.

Front-month Brent crude futures, the international benchmark for oil prices, were at $ 62.71 at 0630 GMT, 42 cents, or 0.7%, above Monday’s close.

US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $ 53.85 per barrel, 59 cents, or 1.1%, above their last settlement.

Prices fell by around 1% in the previous session and crude futures are down by some 20% from their 2019 peaks in late April, dragged lower by a widespread economic downturn that has started to impact oil consumption.

Traders said crude oil futures on Tuesday were pushed up by a broader lift in financial markets after Beijing eased financing rules to stem an economic downturn.

On the production side, Russia said on Monday it might support an extension of supply cuts that have been in place since January, warning oil prices could fall as low as $30 per barrel if producers supply too much crude.The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and some non-affiliated producers including Russia, known collectively as OPEC+, have withheld supplies since the start of the year to prop up prices.

OPEC+ is due to meet in late June or early July to decide output policy for the rest of the year.

“Without OPEC+ adherence to supply discipline in the deteriorating environment prices would drop to $ 40 in a heartbeat, which suggests the extension deal is a lock,” said Stephen Innes, managing partner at Vanguard Markets.Energy consultancy FGE said global crude oil demand growth could drop below 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2019, down from previous expectations of 1.3 to 1.4 million bpd.

“This effectively gives us an extra 300,000-400,000 barrels per day of supply,” said FGE chairman Fereidun Fesharaki.

Despite Tuesday’s stronger markets, concerns about the health of the global economy remained. “With China slowing, the EU sickly and the US data starting to wobble, an economic downturn remains a clear and present danger,” said Innes.


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