Binance Research: Crypto crosses $ 4 t in 2025

• Market prepares for institutional-led expansion in 2026

Binance Research has released its Full-Year 2025 and Themes for 2026 report, detailing a year of historic milestones for the global crypto market alongside heightened volatility driven by macroeconomic forces. 

In 2025, total crypto market capitalisation surpassed $ 4 trillion for the first time, while Bitcoin (BTC) reached a new all-time high, reflecting sustained institutional adoption, regulatory progress, particularly around stablecoins and the expansion of regulated investment products.



These structural advances unfolded against a backdrop of significant uncertainty. Tight and shifting monetary policy, trade tensions, geopolitical risks, and political disruption contributed to repeated risk-off episodes, producing a wide intra-year trading range of roughly 76%. Total market value fluctuated between $ 2.4 - 4.2 trillion, and despite clear progress in market infrastructure and access, the crypto market ended 2025 down about 7.9%. The report notes that price formation during the year was increasingly shaped by macro conditions and traditional financial cycles rather than crypto-native adoption alone.

Bitcoin remained the focal point of capital concentration. While BTC reached new highs during the year, it ended 2025 modestly lower, underperforming gold and most major equity indices. Nevertheless, it sustained a market capitalisation near $ 1.8 trillion 58–60% market dominance.

Across Layer 1 ecosystems, 2025 demonstrated that raw activity alone did not guarantee economic relevance. Ethereum retained leadership in developer activity and DeFi liquidity, but rollup-driven fee compression weighed on ETH’s relative performance versus BTC. Solana sustained high transaction volumes and daily active users, expanded stablecoin supply, generated meaningful protocol revenue, and secured U.S. spot ETF approval. BNB Chain capitalised on strong retail participation and real-world asset deployments, with BNB emerging as the best-performing major crypto asset. The report emphasises that L1 differentiation increasingly depended on the ability to monetise recurring flows such as trading, payments, and institutional settlement.

Ethereum’s Layer 2 ecosystem accounted for over 90% of Ethereum-related transaction execution in 2025, enabled by protocol upgrades that lowered data availability costs. Activity and fees, however, concentrated among a small number of rollups, notably Base and Arbitrum, while fragmentation across more than 100 rollups remained a constraint.

DeFi continued its shift toward “structural institutionalisation.” Total value locked stabilised at $ 124.4 billion, while RWA TVL reached $ 17 billion, surpassing DEXs. Stablecoins emerged as core financial infrastructure, with market capitalisation rising nearly 50% to over $ 305 billion and average daily transaction volumes reaching $ 3.54 trillion. Protocol revenue climbed to $ 16.2 billion, underscoring DeFi’s maturation into a cash-flow-generating sector.

Looking ahead, Binance Research identifies 2026 as a potential inflection point, driven by synchronised global monetary easing, fiscal stimulus, deregulation, and growing institutional participation. These forces are expected to support a liquidity-driven expansion across Bitcoin, stablecoins, tokenisation, decentralised trading, and broader on-chain financial infrastructure.

To read the full report- https://public.bnbstatic.com/static/files/research/full-year-2025-and-themes-for-2026.pdf