Saturday, 30 August 2014 03:53
Reuters:Asian shares slumped on Friday, pulling back from a more than six-year high touched this week, after flaring Ukraine tensions spoiled investor risk appetite.
But spreadbetters predicted a steadier open ahead in Europe, suggesting the fears were receding. They expected Britain’s 100 to open nearly flat; Germany’s DAX to open 13 to 16 points higher, or up 0.2%; and France’s CAC 40 4 to 7 points higher, or up 0.2%.
Wall Street sagged on Thursday as Ukraine’s president said Russian troops had entered his country in support of pro-Moscow rebels who captured a key coastal town, escalating the five-month-old separatist conflict.
The United States on Thursday openly accused Russia of sending combat forces into Ukraine and threatened to tighten economic sanctions, but Washington stopped short of calling Moscow’s latest step an invasion.
“While the primary driver of losses in global equities were developments on the Ukraine-Russia front, there were growing signs that the recent rally in equities was beginning to stall,” IG strategist Stan Shamu said in a note.
“Perhaps yesterday’s news gave investors an excuse to take some profits off the table after a good run in equities,” he
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was down about 0.2%, pulling away from Thursday’s high of 515.13, its highest since early 2008. It was on track for a weekly drop but still poised for a gain of around 0.3% in August.
Japan’s Nikkei stock average shed 0.2% after a spate of weak Japan data. It was also down for the week, bringing its monthly loss to about 1.3%.
On top of geopolitical concerns, bond yields worldwide have come under pressure this week on speculation that the European Central Bank would unveil new stimulus steps as soon as next week, to stave off deflation in the euro zone.
The yield on the 10-year German Bund plunged to a record low of 0.868% on Thursday, and yield on 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds slumped to a 14-month low of 3.059%.
Sources told Reuters on Wednesday that the ECB is unlikely to take new policy action next week unless inflation figures due out later on Friday show the euro zone sinking significantly towards deflation.
German inflation for August released on Thursday came in at a steady 0.8% ahead of Friday’s euro zone number, in line with forecasts but well shy of the ECB’s target of close-to-but-just-under 2% for the euro zone.
The data pushed the euro back toward Wednesday’s one-year low of $1.3152. It was last at $1.3176, slightly lower on the day, and on track for a monthly drop of over 1.5%, after it lost 2.2% in July.
The dollar edged up to 103.83 yen, below a seven-month high of 104.49 touched earlier this week, after a spate of Japanese data underscored how much the nascent economic recovery is struggling to gain traction.
Japanese household spending fell more than expected, the jobless rate edged up and factory output remained anaemic in July after plunging last month, suggesting that soft exports and a sales tax hike in April may drag on the economy longer than expected.
“A rise in the jobless rate could undermine the BOJ’s scenario that an improving job market boosts wages and inflation,” said Minori Uchida, chief FX strategist at the Bank of Mitsubishi-Tokyo UFJ.
“The market appears not much interested in Japanese economy now but that may change towards the year-end as the government has to decide on whether or not it will go ahead with a tax hike planned next year,” he added.
Spot gold was steady on the day at $1,288.70 an ounce after rising for the third straight session against a backdrop of Ukraine tension. It was on track for its first monthly gain since June.
Brent crude added about 0.3% to $102.74 a barrel, but was on track for its second monthly loss as ample supply and softening demand in Europe and China outweighed geopolitical concerns.