Asian shares fall on Fed taper fears after jobs data
Tuesday, 9 July 2013 00:00
Reuters: Asian shares tumbled on Monday as strong US jobs growth reinforced the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will roll back its stimulus in coming months, sending the dollar to a three-year high against a basket of major currencies.
Chinese stocks and regional sentiment were hurt by Beijing’s plan to choke off credit to force consolidation in industries plagued by overcapacity as it seeks to end the economy’s reliance on investment funded by cheap debt. US employers added 195,000 new jobs to their payrolls last month, beating expectations of 165,000. Adding to the positive sentiment, the figures for April and May were revised up by a combined 70,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 7.6% as more people entered the workforce.
Friday’s sharp sell off in US Treasuries – with the 10-year yield suffering its biggest one-day rise in nearly two years – accelerated losses that started in May over the uncertainty of the Fed’s US$ 85 billion a month bond-buying program. Yields on 10-year US Treasuries, which move opposite to price, were at 2.7171%, turning slightly lower after climbing to a nearly two-year high of 2.755% in Asian trade. They jumped 23.3 basis points to 2.736% on Friday, driving up US dollar borrowing costs.
“The money in the market is very short term right now. Most investors have given up hope for any stimulus from Beijing, but now it seems they could be rolling out stricter ground rules to aid the restructuring of the economy,” said Hong Kong Tanrich Securities, Equity Sales Vice-President Jackson Wong. Shares in MSCI’s Asia-Pacific ex-Japan index, shed 1.6%, while Chinese equities fell 1.3% after losing as much as 2.9%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dropped 2.2%.
China’s resolve to overhaul its economy for long-term improvement will be tested this month if a slew of data show growth is grinding towards a 23-year low, as expected. The median forecast of 21 economists surveyed by Reuters show China’s economy likely expanded 7.5% in April – June from a year ago, slowing from the previous three months as weak demand dented factory output and investment growth. The CSI300 index has lost 13% so far this year, while the MSCI Asian gauge is down 10%.
The weakness in Chinese markets dragged Tokyo’s Nikkei share average from a six-week high touched earlier in the session on Monday. The Japanese benchmark was up 0.4% after climbing as high as 1.3%. “I don’t think it’s negative for Japan,” said a hedge fund manager, who declined to be identified, referring to higher dollar borrowing costs. “For ASEAN countries, it is more of a concern if rates continue to go up. A lot of the funding for some of these countries is dollar-denominated.” The sell off in Treasuries also hurt Japanese government bonds on Monday, with the 10-year yield up 2 basis points to 0.875%.
The dollar hit a six-week high of 101.54 yen after gaining 1.2% on Friday, its biggest one-day rise in a month. “The dollar looks likely to gain further. But then again, if Chinese shares face more pressures, we could see a bigger dip in the dollar/yen,” said, Tokyo Nomura Securities Forex Manager Koichi Takamatsu. Against a basket of major currencies, the dollar advanced 1.5% to a three-year high.
The euro was steady at US$ 1.2826 but not far off a seven-week low of US$ 1.2806. The common currency dropped 1.4% in the previous two sessions on the US jobs data and the European Central Bank’s dovish policy guidance. Brent crude prices added 0.2% to near US$ 108 a barrel, extending Friday’s 2.1% rise on the strong US data and concerns over Egypt’s unrest increasing instability in the Middle East. Copper prices put on 0.2% to just above US$ 6,800 a ton after shedding 2.3% in the previous session as the dollar firmed, while gold eased 0.4%, extending Friday’s 2% decline.