Gold demand in the first half was the lowest since 2009: WGC

Friday, 3 August 2018 00:00 - - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}

LONDON (Reuters): Global demand for gold fell 6% in the first half of this year due mainly to a sharp decline in purchases by exchange traded funds (ETFs), the World Gold Council said in a report on Thursday.

Total global demand for gold was 1,959.9 tons over January-June, down from 2,086.5 tons in the same period last year and the lowest first-half total since 2009, the industry-funded WGC said in its latest Gold Demand Trends report.

For the second quarter, demand was down 4% year on year at 964.3 tons. Purchases of gold for investment fell 9%, driven by a 46% decline in ETF buying.

Central bank purchases dipped 7% over April-June and a weak Indian market dragged use for jewellery, the biggest source of demand, down 2%.

“It’s been a soft start to the year and that’s largely because of lower investment demand,” said Alistair Hewitt, the WGC’s head of market intelligence.

ETF investment was weakest in the United States, where a strong economy gave little incentive to buy gold, traditionally used as a safe place to store assets during political and economic uncertainty.

But in Europe, demand was bolstered by the rise of eurosceptic parties in Italian elections and uncertainty over European Central Bank policy, Hewitt said. In China an escalating trade dispute with Washington and falling stock markets drove investment demand.

“Towards the end of the second quarter we actually saw outflows from US listed funds,” Hewitt said. “It really was the European inflows that meant we saw modest global inflows over the quarter.” In Iran, meanwhile, sales of gold bars and coin surged 202% as the United States pulled out of a deal on the country’s nuclear program.

Jewellery demand failed to gain from a 5.4% fall in the price of gold over April-June because the currencies of key consumers including China, India and Turkey weakened, making dollar-priced gold more expensive for local buyers, the WGC said.

Jewellery consumption in India fell 8% in the second quarter to 147.9 tons, in part because of the weaker rupee. Demand in China was more resilient, rising 5% to 144.9 tons.

On the other side of the market, increased mine production and recycling helped lift overall supply by 3% to 1,120.2 tons in the second quarter.