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Stocks, commodities recover after latest trade war jolt

Comments / {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}} Views / Friday, 13 July 2018 00:00


  • MSCI Asia-Pacific index gains 0.6%, Nikkei bounces 1.3%
  • Spreadbetters see European stocks opening higher
  • Asian markets consolidate after previous day’s big tumble
  • Dollar stands tall amid trade fears, hits 6-month high vs. yen
  • Copper pulls up from 1-year low, crude also rebounds

TOKYO (Reuters): Stocks and commodities recovered slightly on Thursday as markets tried to consolidate from the previous session’s steep losses when fears of an escalation in the US-China trade war jolted investor sentiment.

Spreadbetters expected European stocks to open higher, with Britain’s FTSE gaining 0.3%, Germany’s DAX adding 0.35% and France’s CAC 0.4%.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.6%.

The index slumped 1% on Wednesday along with a slide in global equities after US President Donald Trump’s threat to impose tariffs on another $ 200 billion of Chinese goods deepened the trade row between the world’s two largest economies.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 1.0% and the Shanghai Composite Index bounced 2.2%. Australian stocks rose 1%, South Korea’s KOSPI added 0.6% and Japan’s Nikkei gained 1.3%.

“The markets had some time to digest the latest trade war developments and are poised to begin consolidating,” said Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management Senior Strategist Masahiro Ichikawa.

“It has become a pattern of reacting to each new development and hoping that trade strains ease in the next few months through negotiations,” he said.

Focus turned to what the next steps in the tit-for-tat trade conflict might be. China has accused the United States of bullying and warned it could hit back, although the form of retaliation was not clear.

“The retaliatory options available to China include boycotting American goods, sharply devaluing the yuan, and selling off US Treasury holdings,” SMBC Nikko Securities, Tokyo, Senior Economist Xiao Minjie wrote in a note. “But, we believe none of these moves are realistic or productive. The wisest move in our view is for China to accelerate the opening of its market rather than continue to trade blows with the United States.”

China’s yuan strengthened 0.3% versus the dollar, partially recovering from a big slide the previous day and pulling back from 11-month lows brushed last week.

The yuan firmed after the currency’s Thursday midpoint, set by the People’s Bank of China, was not as weak as the market braced for.

“It shows the Central Bank intends to stabilise the market and calm investors. 

One-way speculation on the yuan’s depreciation is not in Chinese authorities’ interests,” said Scotiabank, Singapore, Asia FX Strategist Qi Gao. 

The dollar was buoyant, supported by mounting trade tensions and Wednesday’s strong US inflation data. 

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies was steady at 94.700 after gaining 0.6% overnight. 

Against the yen, which usually strengthens in times of political tension and market turmoil, the greenback stretched its overnight rally and rose to 112.385 yen, its highest since January. 

“The dollar has managed to gain even against the yen due to ongoing trade concerns, with commodity-linked currencies having slid along with the downturn in commodities and providing a broad lift for the dollar,” said Ichikawa of Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management.

Commodity-linked currencies, such as the Australian dollar, suffered deep losses on Wednesday. The Aussie crawled up 0.2% to $0.7383 after dropping 1.2% overnight.

The Canadian dollar was a shade higher at CAD 1.3201 per dollar following a loss of 0.75% the previous day.

The euro was little changed at $ 1.1680 after shedding 0.6% on Wednesday.

In commodities, Brent crude futures rose 1.5% to $74.52 a barrel after tanking 6.9% overnight, the biggest one-day percentage drop since February 2016 as trade tensions threatened to hurt oil demand and news that Libya would reopen its ports raised expectations of growing supply.

Copper on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.8% to $ 6,194.00 a tonne. The industrial metal sank nearly 3% on Wednesday, plumbing a one-year low of $ 6,081.00.



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