Manufacturing and services PMI slows in July

The Manufacturing Sector Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) decreased to 57.2 index points in July from the 57.6 index points observed in the previous month, the Central Bank said yesterday.  

The marginal slowdown observed in manufacturing activities in July was mainly driven by a slowdown in employment due to the difficulties in replacing unskilled employees to account for high labour turnover especially in the Food and Beverages and Textiles and Apparel sectors. 

Moreover, new orders in July slightly slowed down. However, production and stock of purchases showed some improvement, especially in the manufacture of chemicals and pharmaceutical products with the expected positive outlook for the next three months. 

Meanwhile, the lengthening of suppliers’ delivery time usually indicates that the economy is booming with expanding activities in the short run. 

However, in this instance, suppliers’ delivery time lengthened due to the scarcity of raw materials in the world market and unfavourable weather conditions. Thus, it does not indicate an expansion in economic activities. Overall, all the sub-indices of PMI recorded values above the neutral 50.0 threshold, signalling an overall expansion in July albeit at a slower rate during the month. Meanwhile, the expectation for activities indicates an improvement for the next three months. 

The Services Sector PMI declined to 57.8 index points in July 2018 from the 58.7 index points recorded in June 2018. This indicates that the Services sector continued to expand, albeit at a slower pace, in July 2018 supported by faster growth in New Businesses, Business Activity and Expectations for Activity. The growth in New Businesses and Business Activities was mainly observed in the financial services and insurance sectors.

Respondents cited the establishment of digital banking units and improvements to service delivery channels as contributory factors to this growth. Employment levels expanded at a slower rate compared to the strong pace of job creation in the previous two months. Declining backlogs of work usually indicate a contraction of the economy in the short run. However, in this instance, backlogs of work declined partly due to expansion in employment. Thus, it does not indicate a contraction in economic activities. Service providers’ optimism on the three months business outlook strengthened to a 17-month high, particularly among financial services, accommodation, food and beverage, other personal services and transportation sectors. 

Prices Charged of the Services sector increased at a slower rate and recorded a three-month low in July 2018 owing to the absence of any unforeseen price hikes during the month. Expected Labour Cost in the Services sector also increased at a slower rate during July.