Home / Business/ Asian shares subdued after Trump address, Aussie tumbles on RBA shift

Asian shares subdued after Trump address, Aussie tumbles on RBA shift


Comments / {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}} Views / Thursday, 7 February 2019 00:09

Facebook

 

TOKYO/SYDNEY (Reuters): Asian shares were subdued on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address failed to give markets fresh trading catalysts, while the Australian dollar nosedived after the central bank opened the door to a possible rate cut.

Spread-betters expect London’s FTSE and Frankfurt’s DAX to respectively drop 0.2% and 0.1% when they open, while seeing a slightly larger fall for Paris’s CAC.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was barely changed with China and several other markets in the region still closed for the Lunar New Year holiday. The range in which the index traded was limited to just 0.80 points, the narrowest since Dec. 25 last year.

Australian shares gained 0.3%, rising for the third session, while Japan’s Nikkei closed up 0.1%. E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 last were a tad higher.

The Australian dollar shed nearly 1.3% to hit a one week low of $0.71435, putting it on course for its biggest intraday drop in more than five months.

The sharp selloff in the Aussie came after Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe said the bank remained optimistic about the local economic outlook but acknowledged rates might fall if unemployment were to rise and inflation stay too low.

“Over the past year, the next-move-is-up scenarios were more likely than the next-move-is-down scenarios. Today, the probabilities appear to be more evenly balanced,” he said in a speech in Sydney.

Chris Weston, Melbourne-based head of research at foreign exchange brokerage Pepperstone, said the comments show the RBA will react when it needs to though the bar to cutting rates continued to be quite high.

“I think he (Lowe) has opened the door to a degree. A lot of people in the market do see the fragility that’s coming through in quite a lot of parts of the Australian economy,” he said.

 

US State of the Union

Trump vowed in his State of the Union speech on Tuesday to build a border wall that is a source of a deep partisan divide and said Democratic attempts at “ridiculous partisan investigations” could damage US prosperity.

Trump used part of his address to offer a spirit of compromise, particularly in areas such as lowering the price of prescription drugs and funding a $1 trillion upgrade in US roads, bridges and other infrastructure.

Some investors were hoping Trump would offer evidence of real, concrete progress in the US-China trade negotiations, said Nick Twidale, chief operating officer at Rakuten Securities in Sydney.

“The market had much more hopes that he would come up with something more concrete. We didn’t really get it,” Twidale said.

“We got a lot of positive rhetoric — a lot of backslapping, or self-backslapping if you like. Because of that, we just had a really subdued reaction.”Senior US and Chinese officials are poised to start another round of trade talks in Beijing next week to push for a deal on American intellectual property and avert a March 2 increase in US tariffs on Chinese goods, two people familiar with the plans said on Tuesday.

Dow Jones reported earlier that the talks next week would be led by US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, citing an unidentified senior administration official.

Wall Street had already racked up gains courtesy of strong corporate results from Europe and the US, including a blockbuster from Estée Lauder Cos Inc.The Dow ended Tuesday up 0.68%, while the S&P 500 gained 0.47% and the Nasdaq 0.74%.

Treasury bonds also bounced, helped by data showing a surprisingly soft US service sector index of 56.7, with new orders falling to a one-year low.

 

A lengthy pause

The Federal Reserve should leave interest rates where they are until the US economic outlook is clearer, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan said on Tuesday, a process that could take several more months.

The dollar held up well thanks in part to a retreat in sterling, which hit a two-week low at $1.2923 in early trade after poor survey data and uncertainty about Brexit talks pushed it below a key market level. Sterling has come off about 2% from its 2019 high of $1.3218.

Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was firm at 96.110 and well above last week’s low of 95.162. It fell 0.2% on the yen to 109.76.

The euro slipped to $1.1394 after a survey showed on Tuesday that euro zone businesses expanded at their slowest pace since mid-2013 at the start of the year.

In commodity markets, the Wall Street Journal reported Saudi Arabia and its Persian Gulf allies were proposing a formal partnership with a 10-nation group led by Russia to try to manage the global oil market, an alliance that could transform the cartel.

US crude futures edged up 7 cents to $53.73. Brent was also up 7 cents at $62.05.

Spot gold was a shade lower at $1,314.30 per ounce, about 0.9% short of its recent peak at $1,326.30.


Share This Article

Facebook Twitter


DISCLAIMER:

1. All comments will be moderated by the Daily FT Web Editor.

2. Comments that are abusive, obscene, incendiary, defamatory or irrelevant will not be published.

3. We may remove hyperlinks within comments.

4. Kindly use a genuine email ID and provide your name.

5. Spamming the comments section under different user names may result in being blacklisted.

COMMENTS

Today's Columnists

Religion is a problem in Sri Lanka; can it be a solution?

Saturday, 17 August 2019

Generally, it is expected that religion should be a solution to a problem. Ironically in Sri Lanka religion is the problem. Therefore, what would be the solution? When religion becomes a problem of a country....


Orthodoxy and change: A perennial Muslim issue

Saturday, 17 August 2019

Whether Muslims live as minorities in non-Muslim countries or as majorities in a total of fifty seven countries, the clash of orthodoxy with modern challenges is a perennial issue that bedevils progress on several fronts in these communities.


Making the MCC Compact work for Sri Lanka

Friday, 16 August 2019

It is a sign of these political times that even an apolitical issue like a foreign aid program becomes a hot topic in Sri Lanka. In April 2019, the Board of Directors of the Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) approved a compact program for Sri La


Sri Lanka needs a president hungry for success, not power

Friday, 16 August 2019

The late John F. Kennedy described politics as a “noble adventure, an adventure in which one joins hands with the masses for the service of man”. Not that the Kennedys didn’t play “politricks” in their heyday. But playing “politricks” w


Columnists More

Special Report

SPECIAL REPORT MORE